Paxton AI has been well recognized in the legal tech space for its innovative applications of AI. And yet, its founder, Bend’s Mike Ulin, felt the urge to do something else. So he left Paxton and started quietly working on his next pursuit. And now, that effort has been revealed. Meet Tenki.
We make dozens of forecasts every day, often without recognizing them as such. And we’re consistently terrible at it. The pattern is always the same: overreact to recent information, anchor on whatever narrative feels compelling, ignore base rates entirely. It’s embarrassing how systematically humans (myself included) fail at probabilistic reasoning when left to our own devices.
There are proven methods for making accurate forecasts—game theory, Bayesian updating, superforecaster techniques that teams like Good Judgment have refined over decades. But these approaches have historically required specialized training, deep statistical knowledge, and an almost inhuman ability to stay dispassionate when new information drops. Most of us don’t have time for that. Most businesses can’t afford to hire a team of PhD economists every time they need to forecast a market move or strategic decision.
That’s the problem my co-founder Jay and I set out to solve with Tenki.
Basically, it’s helping you predict real life with the same insights and drama of betting on the outcome of your favorite team.
The product is currently offered at a steep discount — $10/month instead of $49/month — with a 14 day free trial.
For more information or to start your free trial, visit Tenki.
